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A recently-released survey conducted by C-voter and ABP news stated that the ruling BJP would lose in all the three poll bound states of Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh

Rahul Ghandhi
Rahul Ghandhi

A recently-released survey conducted by C-voter and ABP news stated that the ruling BJP would lose in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chattisgarh — all the three states which are set to go to elections later this year. According to the survey, Congress is set to replace BJP in MP and Rajasthan with a huge margin.

In Madhya Pradesh, the incumbent Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chauhan is all set to lose to Congress, according to the survey. BJP, which had bagged 165 seats out of the total 230 seats in 2013 Assembly elections, is expected to win only 106 seats, the Congress 117 and others 7 in the 2018 elections.

According to the survey, Baghelkhand, Chambal and Mahakaushal regions are where BJP would face a major drubbing. Congress is expected to win all the 31 seats in Chambal, with BJP likely to see its votes wiped out. In Bhopal, Malwa and Nimar, BJP appears on a stronger ground, but that will not help BJP to increase its vote share.

The survey predicts that Congress is expected to get more than 117 seats. This would be an additional 59 seats from last year’s tally of 58. Most of the Congress votes would be from Baghelkhand and Chambal; in fact a total of 71 from these two regions.

If the vote share were to be tallied, it could be seen as Congress’ gain is BJP’s loss. BJP is losing around 5% votes in Madhya Pradesh while Congress is gaining 5% votes.

According to the survey, BJP is expected to get 40.1% votes in the state, but the Congress has an edge over BJP with 41.7% votes. This difference in votes will give Congress a push to reach the majority mark of 116.

Rajasthan voter survey:

As expected, in Rajasthan, the people are once again expected to turn the tables of power. Vasundhara Raje is unlikely to repeat the BJP’s landslide victory in 2013 Assembly Elections. In fact, BJP is likely to face a similar drubbing that Congress faced in the 2013 Vidhan Sabha Elections.

The survey indicates that that BJP, which had won 163 seats out of total 200 in Rajasthan Assembly Elections in 2013, is likely to be ousted with only 57 seats in their kitty. And Congress is likely to make a major comeback with 130 seats out of total 200.

What is interesting is that Congress is far ahead in all the four regions of the state. In fact, Congress will see landslide victories in Mewar and Harouti. In fact, 57% of the votes in the region will go to the Congress.

Even in terms of vote share, BJP is a distant second to the Congress in Rajasthan. Vasundhara Raje who is expected to be ousted from power is also lagging behind in the popularity race. In fact, only 24.1% of the voters want Vasundhara as the CM.

C Voter conducted this opinion poll for ABP News for Rajasthan Assembly Elections among 9267 respondents spread across 25 Loksabha Seats and 200 Vidhan Sabha Seats between June 28 and August 10, 2018.

Chhattisgarh voter survey:

Congress is likely to come back to power in the state after 15 years. The party is expected to register a victory which will be even better than BJP’s in the last Assembly elections.

Congress is expected to win 54 seats, BJP 33 and others 3. With the loss of 16 seats compared to the last assembly elections, BJP will have no choice, but to be in the Opposition.

According to the survey, Congress is ahead of BJP in all the three regions of the state. The party is likely to get a 1.2% higher vote share than BJP in the state. And that alone will make all the difference.

C Voter conducted this opinion poll for ABP News for Chhattisgarh Assembly Elections among 8,630 respondents spread across 11 Lok Sabha seats and 90 Vidhan Sabha seats of the state from June 1st week to August 1st week.


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